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Wind SeiryuuTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.2% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 56.1% | +3.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -21.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.7% | +14.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 46.2% | -2.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.1 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 4.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Fractal | 4.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.0% | +11.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.9% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 62.1% | +9.0 |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 59.4% | +7.0 |
| Fire Suited | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Slimes | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.0% | -6.7 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Wind Chess | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tricastles of Lucenia | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Expose Darkness | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |